The SWAN Teams Track Record: Performance

For the analysts on the SWAN team we want to see a 5+ year track record that shows an ability to consistently beat the S&P 500 over both short and long-term periods, and through up and down markets.

These are the track records of the SWAN Team members as of December 31, 2009.
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Our confidence in our analysts increases with the margin by which they beat the S&P 500, and the length of their track record.

The column titled "Fund Age" tells you how long we have been tracking each analyst.

\We use Beta to measure how synchronized the analysts are to the market and to each other. A Beta of 1 means that when the market goes up or down, the analyst tends to move in the same direction and by the same percentage. Having analysts with such widely varying Betas means that the team's performance will be less dependent on the direction of the market.

The batting average is one way we measure consistency. It tells you the percent of the time an analyst beat the S&P 500 after a 30 day holding period. An analyst who beats the S&P 500 over any 30 day period 60% of the time is someone that is steadily outperforming the market, not wildly swinging for the fences.

The winning ratio is one of the ways we measure stockpicking skill. It's rare to find someone like analyst 4 who has made money on 84% of the stocks he's invested in over the last 9.2 years.
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If we combine them as a team that is rebalanced just once a year, we see that they would have outperformed the S&P 500 by more than 20% a year for more than 6 years. That's the kind of returns that will make a difference.

Of course, good past performance does not guarantee good future results. Keep in mind that these analysts did very well over a 6 year period when the market was basically flat. If the market is flat, or even up from here, this team has shown they can perform. But what if the market goes down? How would this team handle a downturn? Click here.
Model Portfolio Performance Information

The performance information presented and discussed on this page pertains to Marketocracy.com model funds.

For all model performance results, there are inherent limitations which investors should understand. Unlike an actual performance record, model results do not represent actual investment performance or trading. Since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may under- or over-compensate for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as the effect of limited trading liquidity.

No representation is being made that any investor will or is likely to achieve results similar to those shown. The results presented reflect past performance and should not and cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.
The results shown are not an indicator of the returns a client would have realized or will realize in relying on any model mentioned.

The analysts who manage the model funds are not employees of Marketocracy or any of its affiliates, but are independent investment researchers acting solely as independent contractors.